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Nuveen Predicts Global Real Estate Recovery Despite 'Higher-for-Longer' Rates

Finance · Investment Managers · yonhap_finance · 2026-09-11

Global asset manager Nuveen expects a new recovery phase for real estate by 2026, despite persistent high interest rates and inflationary pressures.

What Happened

Market Outlook: Global asset manager Nuveen anticipates that high interest rates and inflation will persist for an extended period. Despite this, the firm believes the global real estate market has undergone sufficient price corrections and is entering a new recovery cycle, with 2026 marking a significant turning point.

Investment Strategy: Nuveen emphasizes that investors should focus on selecting high-quality cities and assets rather than waiting for immediate rate cuts. They suggest that opportunities exist in real estate debt and specific sectors where supply remains constrained relative to demand.

Global Performance: While global real estate values have dropped by 15-25% from their 2022 peaks, recent data shows a rebound, particularly in Europe. Private real estate has posted positive returns for eight consecutive quarters, signaling that transaction volumes are recovering and the market is becoming more attractive for active deployment.

Domestic Focus: The firm identified Seoul's office market and residential/logistics facilities in Japan and Australia as key investment targets in the Asia-Pacific region. Nuveen highlighted the increasing institutionalization of the Korean rental housing market and continues to expand its local footprint, including recent investments in Seoul's residential sector.

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