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Global Oil Prices Near $100 as Middle East Tensions Threaten Domestic Inflation

Energy Minerals · Oil & Gas Production · yonhap_finance · 2026-09-09

Rising global oil prices are putting pressure on South Korea's inflation, prompting the government to consider extending price caps to stabilize the market.

What Happened

Global Oil Surge: Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have pushed global oil prices toward the $100 per barrel mark. Concerns over supply disruptions due to regional conflicts have led major investment banks to revise their price forecasts upward for the coming year.

Domestic Impact: Despite the global rally, South Korean gasoline prices have remained relatively stable due to government-imposed price caps and a successful diversification of crude oil import sources. The nation has notably increased its reliance on U.S. crude while reducing its dependency on Middle Eastern supplies.

Policy Measures: The government remains committed to maintaining the petroleum price cap system to curb inflation, with budget allocations already secured for the next year. While a tenth extension of the price cap is expected, there is ongoing debate about whether the government will adjust the ceiling to reflect the recent surge in global costs.

Future Outlook: Industry experts warn that a prolonged conflict in the Middle East could eventually overwhelm current mitigation efforts. Authorities continue to monitor the situation closely, balancing the need for price stability with the reality of volatile global energy markets.

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