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Taiwan Stocks Reach Record Highs; Analysts Predict Further Upside to 55,000

Electronic Technology · Semiconductors · economic_daily · 2026-10-05

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Taiwanese equities hit record highs led by TSMC, with analysts remaining bullish on AI-driven growth and projecting potential targets of 53,000 to 55,000.

What Happened

Record-Breaking Rally: Taiwan stocks reached historic highs yesterday, bolstered by strong performance from TSMC and a healthy rotation among small and mid-cap stocks. Market experts suggest that the current fundamental and thematic tailwinds are sufficient to sustain the bullish momentum through the first half of October.

Optimistic Price Targets: While local brokerages generally set a fourth-quarter target of 50,000 points, more optimistic analysts believe the index could reach between 53,000 and 55,000. Future gains will largely depend on capital expenditure trends from major U.S. cloud service providers and upcoming corporate earnings reports.

Fundamental Strength: Analysts highlight that Taiwan's macroeconomic indicators, including GDP growth and export data, remain robust, with the AI boom continuing to drive supply chain performance. This upward trend in corporate earnings is successfully offsetting the valuation pressures typically associated with high interest rates.

Liquidity and Capital Flows: As the deleveraging process nears its end, market liquidity has improved significantly, evidenced by record-high brokerage deposit balances and consistent retail inflows. This influx of capital provides a strong foundation for the ongoing bull market, supporting the index's continued upward trajectory.

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