HYPEUSDT 1D wait-bias projected path Jun 25 2026

Jun 25, 2026

The 1D trend is still broadly up, but current momentum is cooling: price is below the 9EMA, RSI is near 49, MACD is bearish, and ADX has faded. The cleaner long is not 'buy now' but a reclaim setup above 66.8 after support stabilizes, targeting 74.5 first and then a retest of 76.9. If 60-58 fails on a daily closing basis, the bullish continuation thesis weakens materially.

Entry 66.8 · Stop 59.8 · Target 74.5

Analysis

Done — I opened, marked up, projected, saved, and closed the 1D chart.

Final bias: WAIT

Not a “buy now” on the 1D.
The bigger trend is still bullish, but the current daily setup is cooling off, not re-accelerating.

Annotated chart

Image: https://orxjyttejsgrinpotlvz.supabase.co/storage/v1/object/public/charts/tv-snapshots/BINANCE_HYPEUSDT.P/2026-06-25/1782361270381-jw4i8sdz.png
Saved layout ID: e61ce33a-da6d-4731-987f-920937b0a2a7

What I drew

Rising macro trend channel / regression trend
Major rising support ray
Fib retracement from the Jun 11 low (~53) to the Jun 16 ATH (~76.9)
Support zones and reclaim/resistance zone
A forward path projection showing the most likely base case

Core read

Facts from the chart

Price is around 62.95
EMA9 ≈ 65.27 → price is below it
RSI ≈ 49.35 → neutral to soft, not strong
MACD is bearish / rolling lower
ADX ≈ 20.5 → trend strength has faded
Structure remains bullish on a larger basis, but short-term momentum is no longer clean

Interpretation

This looks more like a post-ATH digestion / pullback than a fresh buy-now breakout.
The chart favors chop or a retest into support first, then a possible rebound if buyers defend the zone.

Key levels

Support

60 to 58 = main support / fib pullback zone
55 to 52 = last defense if 58 breaks

Resistance

68.5 to 71 = reclaim zone; needs to be recovered before a cleaner long
74.5 = first upside objective on recovery
76.9 = ATH supply / major resistance

Most likely path

Base case I drew:

Short-term dip / retest into 60–58
Bounce toward 66–69
Some chop / retest
If price reclaims 68.5–71, then continuation toward 74.5, possibly 76.9

Bearish alternate

A daily close below 58 weakens the bullish continuation thesis and opens a deeper pullback toward the low-50s.

Trade plan

This is not an active buy-now setup, so I framed it as a watch setup:

Direction: neutral-watch
Trigger / entry: 66.8
Stop: 59.8
Target 1: 74.5
Target 2: 76.9

News context

Recent HYPE headlines have been fundamentally supportive:

ETF / platform activity and buyback narrative helped fuel the run to ATH
But there’s also token unlock / supply-overhang chatter, which fits the current volatile pullback behavior

Bottom line

Can they buy now?
No — better to wait.

Best bullish confirmation:

60–58 holds
then price reclaims 68.5–71

Best invalidation:

Daily close below 58

If you want, I can also do a 2nd pass on 4H to refine the entry timing inside this daily setup.