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LVS Positioned for Potential Rebound as Valuation and Options Signal Opportunity

Consumer Services · Casinos/Gaming · cnbc · 2026-08-26

LVS

Market analyst Mike Khouw suggests Las Vegas Sands could be nearing an inflection point, citing attractive valuations, aggressive capital returns, and cheap options.

What Happened

Valuation and Market Position: Las Vegas Sands (LVS) is currently trading at a forward earnings multiple of 14x, which sits near the lower end of its historical range and just above its 10-year low. Despite past challenges in the Macau high-roller segment, the company is actively pursuing growth opportunities in new markets like Texas, Thailand, and the UAE.

Capital Return Strategy: Management has demonstrated significant confidence in the company's future by reinstating dividends and maintaining a $6 billion share buyback authorization. This buyback program represents approximately 20% of the current market capitalization, providing a potential tailwind for shareholders as the company deploys this capital.

Options Market Sentiment: Implied volatility for LVS is currently around 28%, which is notably lower than its five-year average of 39%. This environment presents an opportunity for traders to acquire cheap optionality, with specific interest in November $50 strike calls to capture potential bullish reversals.

Technical Outlook and Inflection Points: After a decline of over 30% since late November, the stock shows signs of a technical turnaround with the 20-day moving average trending upward. Analysts suggest that the stock's recent outperformance relative to the S&P 500 since the start of H2 26 may indicate that an inflection point has been reached.

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