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iM Securities: Surge in Capex Signals Prolonged Semiconductor Supercycle
Electronic Technology · Semiconductors · yonhap_finance · 2026-09-01
iM Securities reports a significant rebound in South Korean capital expenditure, signaling a sustained semiconductor export boom driven by AI demand in China.
What Happened
Capex Recovery: iM Securities reports that domestic capital expenditure in South Korea is gaining significant momentum in the third quarter. Analysts expect the growth rate to transition from single digits in the first half to double digits by the end of the year.
Semiconductor Supercycle: The firm interprets this investment surge as a clear indicator that the semiconductor export boom is not only persistent but likely to continue. Notably, August semiconductor exports reached a record-breaking $46.65 billion.
China's AI Demand: The robust export performance is largely attributed to China's aggressive AI development policies. Despite domestic economic headwinds, China's high demand for high-tech components continues to drive South Korean semiconductor shipments.
Growth Outlook: Driven by the semiconductor cycle, there is growing potential for South Korea's GDP growth to exceed the Bank of Korea's current forecast of 3.3%. Projections for next year are also increasingly optimistic, suggesting growth could match or surpass this year's performance.
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