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Foreign Outflows vs. Domestic Buying: Can Taiwan Stocks Hit 50,000 Points?

Electronic Technology · Semiconductors · economic_daily · 2026-10-24

As foreign investors aggressively pull capital from Asian markets, domestic buying in Taiwan remains resilient, fueling speculation about a potential rally toward 50,000 points.

What Happened

Foreign Flows and Market Sentiment: Despite record-breaking selling by foreign investors in the Taiwan market this year, institutional sentiment remains bullish on the island's role in the AI supply chain. The market is currently defined by a tug-of-war between foreign divestment and robust domestic support, which has consistently fueled V-shaped recoveries.

TSMC's Global Expansion: TSMC's commitment to expanding its U.S. footprint has triggered short-term volatility as foreign investors react to potential capital dilution. While the government actively supports these overseas investments to secure long-term supply chain integration, the immediate impact on stock price remains a point of contention.

ASIC and Optical Communication Trends: The demand for custom AI chips has propelled ASIC providers like Alchip and Global Unichip into the spotlight, highlighting their critical role in advanced manufacturing. Additionally, the optical communication and high-end CCL sectors are seeing significant momentum as they address the infrastructure needs of high-speed AI data transmission.

Market Outlook: With Taiwan's stock market outperforming many regional peers this year, domestic capital has become the primary engine for growth. As foreign investors begin to cover short positions in index futures, the market is positioned for a potential breakout if foreign buying returns to the spot market.

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