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US Consumer Sentiment Drops to Near-Record Lows Amid Inflation Fears

cnbc · 2026-09-11

Consumer confidence plummeted in September as the University of Michigan survey revealed growing anxiety over rising fuel costs and persistent inflation.

What Happened

Sentiment Decline: The University of Michigan's monthly survey reported a significant drop in consumer sentiment, with the headline index falling to 47.8. This reading represents a 7.5% decline from August and marks the second-lowest level recorded since the survey began in 1952.

Inflationary Pressures: Consumers are expressing heightened concern regarding their financial future, driven largely by a resurgence in fuel prices and broader economic tensions. The one-year inflation outlook climbed to 4.6%, reflecting the highest level of anxiety since June as household budgets face mounting pressure.

Economic Data Context: Official Bureau of Labor Statistics data confirms the trend, showing gasoline prices jumped 3.9% in August and are up over 27% year-over-year. These rising costs are directly impacting the expectations measure, which saw a sharp 11.1% tumble compared to the previous month.

Monetary Policy Implications: With annual inflation running at 3.4%, significantly above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, market participants are pricing in a near-certain interest rate hike. Traders now estimate an 85% probability of a rate increase at the upcoming central bank meeting as policymakers struggle to contain price growth.

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